Our Core Philosophy
Model, Don’t Guess
Assumptions are fine—until they stay untested. Fermi brings structure to exploration.
Decide with Data
Simulate trade‑offs, run what‑ifs, and measure outcomes—all in one place.
Iterate Intelligently
Every idea gets clearer through modeling, reflection, and feedback loops.
Explicit Value
Quick Estimate → frictionless first forecast
Forecast vs Deep‑Dive → expose gaps & constraints
AI Insights → challenge assumptions & suggest next actions
Templates & Benchmarks → start smarter, calibrate against norms
Implicit Value
Make assumptions explicit → clearer thinking
See causal structure → understand how levers interact
Play with sensitivities → discover fragility vs resilience
Learn by modeling → a discipline that compounds
Our Approach
Comparative Modeling
Hold your forecast and deep‑dive reality side‑by‑side to surface gaps and levers.
Sensitivity First
Reveal which inputs actually move outcomes; focus your energy where it compounds.
AI as Critic
Get constructive skepticism: unrealistic inputs flagged, trade‑offs suggested.
Causal Clarity
Make assumptions explicit and trace how price, users, churn, and spend interact.
Why Fermi Exists
Named for physicist Enrico Fermi—famous for turning fuzzy questions into order‑of‑magnitude truths—Fermi helps you quantify what you believe and see where it breaks.
We built Fermi so founders, operators, and investors can bridge intuition and evidence: test forecasts against deep‑dive reality, reveal tensions, and allocate resources with conviction.
• Structured Experimentation: Turn intuition into data‑driven hypotheses.
• Scenario Modeling: Compare outcomes across best, base, and stress cases.
• Decision Clarity: Connect models to actions, rules, and measurable goals.
• Integrated Design: Bring finance, product, and AI analysis together in one model.
From Values to Deliverables
Quick Estimate: minimal inputs → instant forecast (try it)
Forecast vs Deep‑Dive: dual‑view comparison with gaps & levers highlighted (see how)
AI Insights: assumption checks, sensitivity highlights, and suggested actions (preview)
Templates & Benchmarks: SaaS, marketplace, product profiles with industry calibrations (browse)
Fermi is part of Opt42 — a broader initiative to build optimization systems for strategy, capital, and innovation.
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